The US Federal Reserve has signalled that it needs more evidence that inflation is falling before it cuts interest rates.
Policymakers voted to hold borrowing costs at a 23-year-high of 5.25pc to 5.5pc.
Forecasts published alongside the decision show the Fed still expects to cut interest rates three times this year.
However, in a statement issued on Wednesday evening, rate-setters at the world’s largest central bank reiterated that they needed more evidence that inflation was tamed to start bringing down rates.
They said: “The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc.”
US inflation edged up to 3.2pc in February from 3.1pc the previous month.
The Fed’s latest decision comes amid mounting speculation over when the Bank of England will deliver its first cut.
The Bank’s panel of rate-setters are expected to hold interest rates at 5.25pc on Thursday even as inflation in the UK has fallen to its lowest level in nearly two and a half years.
Analysts are expecting that the Bank of England, the Fed and the European Central Bank will all start to bring down borrowing costs in June.
Read the latest updates below.
Thanks for joining us. We’ll be back in the morning but I’ll leave you with some of our latest business stories elsewhere on our pages:
US prosecutors have charged two former Tesla employees based in China with stealing the company’s battery technology and attempting to sell it. James Titcomb reports:
The US Federal Reserve has signalled that it needs more evidence that inflation is falling before it cuts interest rates.
Policymakers voted to hold borrowing costs at a 23-year-high of 5.25pc to 5.5pc.
Forecasts published alongside the decision show the Fed still expects to cut interest rates three times this year.
However, in a statement issued on Wednesday evening, rate-setters at the world’s largest central bank reiterated that they needed more evidence that inflation was tamed to start bringing down rates.
They said: “The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc.”
US inflation edged up to 3.2pc in February from 3.1pc the previous month.
The Fed’s latest decision comes amid mounting speculation over when the Bank of England will deliver its first cut.
The Bank’s panel of rate-setters are expected to hold interest rates at 5.25pc on Thursday even as inflation in the UK has fallen to its lowest level in nearly two and a half years.
Analysts are expecting that the Bank of England, the Fed and the European Central Bank will all start to bring down borrowing costs in June.
Boeing said on Wednesday it would burn more cash than previously expected as it constrains 737 production to improve quality amid a worsening crisis at the US planemaker.
Finance chief Brian West said Boeing would produce fewer than a maximum of 38 of its 737 aircraft allowed monthly under a limit from regulators.
He said: “For years, we prioritised the movement of the airplane through the factory over getting it done right, and that’s got to change.”
He added that Boeing’s cash burn in the first quarter will be somewhere between $4bn and $4.5bn, “higher than we originally planned back in January.”
Margins at the commercial aeroplanes business would be “more like negative 20pc” in the first quarter, he said, in part due to customer compensation for delivery delays.
Investec has told investors that it faces a “potential impact” from the Financial Conduct Authority’s review into commissions paid in the motor finance industry.
The investment bank entered the motor finance market in June 2015 after buying Mann Island Finance.
Despite this, Investec said its profits for the year to the end of March would still rise to between £866.9m and £909.6m, up from £818.7m the year before.
Fani Titi, chief executive, said: “As you can see, the results are quite strong even after factoring in a provision.
“We remain comfortable that we were compliant, but clearly there is an investigation on the go. And we have looked at the number of different scenarios of potential outcomes, and, on a prudent basis, we have made a provision.”
Europe’s luxury goods companies had a difficult day in trading after the owner of Gucci, French group Kering, warned of a sales drop in Asia. Kering shares tumbled 11.9pc.
Combined with a profit warning from Burberry in January, the high-end sector is grappling with a worsening slowdown in demand for luxury goods.
In a sector-wide reaction, other luxury stocks such as LVMH, Burberry, Richemont and Christian Dior dropped between 1.6pc and 3.2pc.
Stuart Cole, chief economist at Equiti Capital, said:
The FTSE 100 closed down 0.01pc today. The biggest riser was investment company St James’s Place, up 4.52pc, followed by aerospace supplier Melrose, up 4.06pc. The biggest faller was Prudential, down 4.53pc, followed by Burberry, down 3.29pc.
Meanwhile, the FTSE 250 close up 0.27pc. The biggest riser was City firm Close Brothers, up 8.81pc, followed by Johnson Matthey, up 7.76pc. The biggest faller was mining company Ferrexpo, down 9.34pc, followed by Trustpilot, down 7.69pc.
American stocks drifted in trading on Wall Street today as markets wait for the US Federal Reserve’s latest announcement on interest rate policy and some guidance on the timing and size of potential rate cuts later this year.
The S&P 500 is up 0.3pc, the Dow Jones Industrial Average of 30 leading companies is up 0.1pc, and the Nasdaq Composite index is unchanged.
Meanwhile, US Treasury yields are holding relatively steady in the bond market.
The Fed began its latest meeting on interest rates on Tuesday and will announce its decision later today.
The widespread expectation is for the central bank to leave its main interest rate alone at a two-decade high.
Investors are hoping the Fed will indicate it still expects to cut rates three times later this year, as it hinted a few months ago.
Stocks have been rallying to records amid hopes that the Fed is moving closer to cutting interest rates, which would relieve pressure on the economy and financial system.
Wall Street is betting that the central bank will begin cutting its benchmark interest rate at its meeting in June.
The central bank started raising interest rates in 2022 in an effort to tame inflation back to its target of 2pc.
Inflation has broadly cooled since then, with consumer prices falling to a rate of 3.2pc in February from as high as 9.1pc in the middle of 2022.
At the same time, consumers kept spending and the economy grew, despite worries that such severe interest rate increases could cause a recession.
EasyJet could expand the flights it offers to Milan as the European Commission investigates a tie-up between Germany’s Lufthansa and Italy’s ITA Airways.
Easyjet said today that is is in talks with the European Commission about taking over slots at Milan’s Linate airport.
The German carrier is seeking a 41pc stake in the state-owned Italian rival for €325m (£277m) as part of a capital increase and expects a statement of objections from the Commission setting out concerns this month.
EasyJet’s Chief Executive Johan Lundgren said:
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund is reportedly in talks to create a $40bn investment fund that could become the world’s largest investor in artificial intelligence businesses.
The New York Times reported that the Saudis had been speaking with Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz and other financiers on a potential partnership during recent weeks.
Marc Andreessen, the co-founder of Andreessen Horowitz, shot to fame in the 1990s when he created the first widely used graphical web browser, Mosaic, before setting up Netscape.
Google has been fined €250m (£214m) by French regulators for using news articles to train its chatbot without publishers’ permission. James Titcomb has the details:
Johnson Matthey has spun off its medical parts division, selling the unit to a private equity firm for £550m. Hannah Boland has the details:
President Biden’s administration has said it is awarding chipmaking giant Intel nearly $20bn in grants and loans, supercharging the company’s American semiconductor chip output and marking the US government’s largest outlay to subsidise leading-edge chip production.
President Biden is understood to be announcing an agreement for $8.5bn in grants and up to $11bn in loans for Intel in Arizona today, where some of the funding to be used to build two new factories and modernise an existing one.
Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo called it a huge deal and one of the largest investments ever in US semiconductor manufacturing.
“It means leading-edge semiconductors made in the United States of America,” she said on Tuesday, noting that the administration hopes to increase the United States’ share of leading-edge chip production from 0pc to 20pc by 2030 through the subsidy program.
The historic outlay shows the Biden administration is betting big on Intel as part of the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act. The goal of the CHIPS Act is to reduce reliance on China and Taiwan, as the share of global semiconductor manufacturing capacity in the US has fallen from 37pc in 1990 to 12pc in 2020, according to the US Semiconductor Industry Association.
Last year, Britain’s biggest microchip factory was sold to a US bidder, Vishay Intertechnology, after a Chinese-backed takeover was blocked on national security grounds.
Britain risks becoming a “dumping ground” for Uyghur-made goods, MPs have warned, amid concerns over upcoming solar developments with alleged links to forced labour. Hannah Boland reports:
I’m heading off now but Alex Singleton will make sure you have the latest on the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later.
Hopefully you are able to enjoy some sunshine as today marks the first official day of spring – or do some spring cleaning.
Bosses at the London Eye have ordered a fresh coat of paint on the attraction as the tourism season begins.
It requires an estimated 5,000 litres to cover the entirety of the 135m-high observation wheel.
More than €7bn (£6bn) was wiped off the value of luxury giant Kering after it warned of a slump in sales at its biggest brand, Gucci.
Our retail editor Hannah Boland has the latest:
Read how Kering has been under pressure to improve the performance of Gucci.
Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary will meet with senior Boeing executives today in Dublin to discuss prolonged delays in plane deliveries as the crisis at the US planemaker deepens.
Mr O’Leary said he will also discuss the certification of Boeing’s 737 MAX 10 aircraft and ongoing issues with oversight following the January 5 mid-air blowout of a panel on a new Alaska Airlines MAX 9.
The meeting will be with the “highest levels of management” at Boeing, he told Reuters.
He said:
He said the budget airline, Boeing’s largest European customer, has regular meetings with its plane supplier and believes things will start to improve as regulators ramp up scrutiny of the company.
The pound hit a fresh eight-and-a-half-year high versus the yen as the Bank of Japan decision to exit its negative interest rates policy left higher-yielding currencies such as the pound appealing versus Japanese assets.
However, sterling fell against a strengthening dollar as investors await the outcome of the Federal Reserve policy meeting.
The pound was down 0.2pc versus the dollar at around $1.27, while the euro was flat at 85p.
Against the yen, sterling hit a fresh high of 192.84 and was last up 0.4pc.
Markets slightly increased their bets on interest rate cuts by the Bank of England on Thursday, pricing a roughly 63pc chance of a first move in June from 58pc before the data.
Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates unchanged after its meeting at 6pm UK time, and they will focus on signals about the timing and extent of any easing this year.
Ruben Segura-Cayuela, European economist at Bank of America, said:
After the Aslef union announced new strikes on London Underground, a Transport for London spokesman said:
Jeremy Hunt has told entrepreneur Sir James Dyson to run for election himself if he wants to set government policy.
Our deputy economic editor Tim Wallace has the latest:
Read how Sir James has criticised Government policy.
Wall Street are eased lower in early trading as markets wait for the Federal Reserve’s latest announcement on interest rate policy.
The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite were all down about 0.1pc.
Treasury yields held relatively steady in the bond market.
The Fed will announce its decision at 6pm UK time. The widespread expectation is for it to leave its main interest rate alone at a two-decade high, but investors are hoping it will indicate it still expects to cut rates three times later this year, as it hinted a few months ago.
The UK head of Santander has said he would not be “putting a lot more capital into the UK” if he was his bosses in Spain.
Mike Regnier told the Treasury Select Committee: “Even in a really good year, the level of returns that we’re able to make in the UK aren’t as high as the shareholders of our parent would expect.”
He added:
Some of the UK’s biggest banks have said they closed more accounts last year than in 2022, but that reputational concerns were behind a small minority of forced closures.
NatWest, Santander and Barclays said they had been running an extensive programme to update customer information, which has resulted in a wave of closures of inactive or dormant accounts.
NatWest’s boss Paul Thwaite told MPs the majority of its closures are for fraud or financial crime reasons and that an “absolute minority” involve concerns about the customer’s reputation.
Barclays UK chief executive Vim Maru said: “We would not be closing accounts based on political beliefs and protected characteristics.”
The issue of bank account closures was brought into the mainstream last year following the closure Nigel Farage’s Coutts bank account last year, in a scandal which saw the departure of former chief executive Dame Alison Rose.
Mortgage lenders are cutting rates as falling inflation raises hopes that the Bank Rate will come down faster than expected this year.
Money reporter Ruby Hinchliffe has the latest:
Read how today’s fall has “increased expectations of lower mortgage rates”.
Brewer and pub group Shepherd Neame has reported record high sales as it said inflation was “at last” beginning to ease for under-pressure companies.
Britain’s oldest brewer, founded in 1698, said demand had been particularly strong in London with city centre workers returning to offices.
Revenues for the six months to December reached a record high of £89m, about 4pc more than the same period a year ago.
Christmas trading was “exceptional”, said chief executive Jonathan Neame, “as consumers celebrated their first uninterrupted Christmas since 2019”, prior to the pandemic.
It was affected by just six days of rail strikes during the period, compared with a longer period of disruption in the prior year.
Mr Neame said: “Whilst the cost-of-living crisis is still squeezing consumer pockets, hospitality has fared better than high street retail.”
He said pubs have generally been performing better than casual dining, amid restaurant groups feeling the impact of consumers making cut-backs to their spending.
Prices of food, raw materials and energy are still around 10pc higher than the previous year, but have been beginning to stabilise, the company said.
Train drivers at 16 rail companies are to stage a fresh wave of strikes in a long-running dispute over pay, threatening more travel chaos for passengers across the country.
Members of Aslef will hold a rolling programme of one-day walkouts between April 5 and 8, coupled with a six-day ban on overtime.
The union said it wanted to increase the pressure on the “intransigent” train companies and the “tone-deaf” government following a series of strikes stretching back 20 months.
Train drivers have now not had a pay rise for five years, since April 2019, said Aslef.
Drivers will strike on Friday, April 5 at Avanti West Coast, East Midlands Railway, West Midlands Trains, and CrossCountry.
They will walk out on Saturday April 6 at Chiltern, GWR, LNER, Northern, and TransPennine.
Strikes wil take place on Monday April 8 at c2c, Greater Anglia, GTR Great Northern Thameslink, Southeastern, Southern/Gatwick Express, South Western Railway main line and depot drivers, and SWR Island Line.
Members will also refuse to work their rest days from Thursday April 4 to Saturday April 6 and on Monday and Tuesday, April 8 and 9.
The boss of NatWest has said there is “only so much” banks can do to prevent fraud, as some of the UK’s biggest lenders said more needs to be done across different sectors to tackle the issue.
Paul Thwaite told a group of MPs during a Treasury Committee session that more than 80pc of fraud is initiated on social media platforms.
He said: “Banks can only do so much but we really need to get a whole variety of sectors involved to address this.”
Charlie Nunn, Lloyds’ chief executive, said preventing fraud is more important than reimbursing victims. He said:
London Underground drivers are to stage two 24-hour strikes in a long-running dispute over terms and conditions.
Members of Aslef will walk out on April 8 and May 4, threatening travel misery across the capital.
Finn Brennan, the union’s organiser for the Tube, said the company had failed to give assurances that changes to terms and conditions will not be imposed without agreement. He said:
Aslef drivers have voted by 98pc in favour of strikes. They went on strike a year ago in the same dispute.
Calm has been restored for some snack seekers across the nation after Greggs fixed its IT problems- but it warned some stores are still face issues.
A spokesman for the bakery chain said:
Bank bosses have defended the increases in mortgage rates since the turn of the year, saying the market remains “fiercely competitive”.
The average rate for a two-year fixed rate mortgage has risen to 5.8pc today from 5.55pc on January 25, according to Moneyfacts.
It comes as money markets have repriced the risk of the Bank of England keeping interest rates higher for longer, forecasting fewer than three interest rate cuts this year compared to five at the start of the year.
Appearing in front of the Treasury Select Committee of MPs, Lloyds Bank chief executive Charlie Nunn said mortgage rates had previously come down “well ahead” of interest rates, which stand at 5.25pc.
He said they have gone up but by “not as much” as lenders had to reprice their mortgage rates based on the risk of the Bank of England keeping interest rates higher.
Appearing alongside him, Natwest chief executive Paul Thwaite told MPs:
European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde has warned of the risk of acting “too late” on interest rate cuts, reaffirming the likelihood that the first reduction in borrowing costs will come in June.
The ECB has kept its interest rates steady since October, following an unprecedented series of hikes to tame red-hot inflation.
With inflation steadily declining and the eurozone economy stuttering, attention has shifted to when the ECB will start easing its monetary policy.
Ms Lagarde said at a conference in Frankfurt: “We cannot wait until we have all the relevant information. To do so could risk being too late in adjusting policy.”
The ECB was therefore focusing on “two important pieces of evidence” before deciding its next move: data on eurozone wage growth and the bank’s own economic forecasts.
The ECB’s latest projections on economic growth and inflation meanwhile will be unveiled in June. The data should give “more visibility on the strength” of the economies of the 20-nation club as well as confirming whether inflation remains on track to return to the two-percent target in 2025.
Policymakers will know “a lot more by June”, Ms Lagarde said, echoing comments she made after the latest ECB meeting earlier this month.
BBC director-general Tim Davie has suggested the broadcaster’s impartiality has become harder to maintain due to the “polarisation” of public discourse.
Mr Davie was asked by the Culture, Media and Sport Committee if the BBC is biased following the Culture Secretary Lucy Frazer’s saying it was “on occasion”.
He said: “I am proud of our output under huge pressure, and I think that (if) we look at the data as well… overall we’re doing a good job in terms of delivering impartial coverage amidst enormous pressure.”
He added that the “polarisation in society is profound” and the corporation is among those that “steer the course amongst the noise” despite “the storms of social media” being “very demanding”.
Mr Davie also said he “worries” about public institutions losing trust in the current social climate.
He added: “I believe we are impartial and we’re doing a good job, but I do not want for a minute… to be defensive or complacent about that. I think there’s lots of work to do.”
The average cost of renting a private property increased by 9pc in the year to February, according to the ONS.
This was an increase from 8.5pc in the 12 months to January, as statisticians used new data for the first time.
Meanwhile, average UK house prices decreased by 0.6pc in the 12 months to January, and were down by 1.5pc in England to £299,000, down 0.8pc in Wales to £213,000, and increased 4.8pc in Scotland to £190,000.
Average house prices increased by 1.4pc to £178,000 in the year to the fourth quarter of 2023 in Northern Ireland.
Matt Corder, deputy director for prices at the ONS, said:
The Bank of England is under increasing pressure to cut interest rates after the steepest fall in inflation since 1978, according to economists.
Policymakers are expected to hold interest rates steady at their 16-year highs of 5.25pc tomorrow, despite inflation falling to its lowest level September 2021 at 3.4pc.
Julian Jessop, economics fellow at the Institute of Economic Affairs think tank, said:
Heathrow Airport’s passenger charges for the next two years could be cut by 6pc, a regulator has announced.
The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) said it is proposing to adjust the caps on charges it previously set for 2025 and 2026 following a “re-examination” of its decision in March last year.
Charges are paid by airlines but are generally passed on to passengers in air fares.
If the proposals are implemented following a six-week consultation, average charges per passenger would be cut by around £1.52 to £23.72 in 2025, and by £1.58 to £23.70 in 2026.
This comes after the Competition and Markets Authority ordered the CAA to reconsider some aspects of its decision.
The CAA looked again at the airport’s revenues during coronavirus lockdowns, as well as the impact of its debt and pension costs.
The average charge per passenger was £31.57 in 2022 and 2023, and was forecast to be £25.43 this year.
Greggs said it is unable to take cash or card payments, which has forced the closure this shop in Sheffield.
A sign on the door reads:
A major factor holding markets back from big moves after the sharp fall in UK inflation is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy meeting later today.
Fed decision-makers are widely expected to hold interest rates at a two-decade high, but traders will also be watching the “dot plot” of projections for how many cuts they see this year.
At the turn of 2024, markets had factored in up to six cuts, but a spate of strong data – particularly pointing to sticky inflation – has forced investors to revise that down to three.
US inflation stands at 3.2pc, barely lower than the UK’s February reading of 3.4pc.
Although it is in line with the Fed’s December projection but there are worries policymakers could be spooked into lowering their outlook to just two rate cuts – or 50 basis points.
Some market participants are also concerned that the first reduction – anticipated by many to come in June – could be pushed back.
Citigroup’s Veronica Clark warned:
Greggs stores across the UK have been hit by technical issues preventing them from accepting payments, forcing some to close.
IT outages affected the bakery chain’s branches this morning, causing some to put up temporary “closed” notices on their doors.
Others asked customers to place orders outside using the Greggs mobile app before food could be given to them.
Stores in cities including London, Manchester, Cardiff and Glasgow have reportedly been affected, with customers unable to purchase items.
A Greggs spokesperson said:
On Saturday, outages to payment systems prevented Sainsbury’s and Tesco stores across the country from accepting contactless card payments and issuing home deliveries.
On Friday, McDonald’s suffered a “global technology system outage” which the fast-food chain said had not been directly “caused by a cybersecurity event”.
Greggs operates more than 2,450 shops across the UK.
Retail tycoon Mike Ashley is to advise Hornby after building up a stake in the historic model train business.
The toy company told shareholders that the Frasers Group founder and majority owner has “entered into a consultancy arrangement” with the business.
“Mike will be available to support Olly Raeburn, chief executive officer of Hornby, and the wider business, particularly in relation to systems, operations, logistics and, where relevant, broader matters of strategy,” it said.
Hornby added that there will be no payment to Mr Ashley’s business for the consultancy services.
Shareholders will hope the move can help spark a financial turnaround at Hornby, after it posted a £5.1m pre-tax loss in the half-year to September.
Shares in the company slipped to their lowest price for decades at the end of last year as a result – but climbed 7pc following the announcement of Mr Ashley’s involvement.
Mr Ashley’s Frasers Group significantly increased its stake in Hornby in February this year, driving a jump in the firm’s share valuation.
The Sports Direct owner acquired more than 11m shares in Hornby to take its stake in the the Margate-based company to 8.9pc.
The FTSE 100 opened lower despite the sharp fall in inflation as investors remained cautious ahead of interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.
The blue chip index slipped 0.1pc, as markets keenly awaited Fed decision that could potentially set the tone for global central banks.
The decline in inflation to 3.4pc in February led traders to increase bets on interest rate cuts in the summer, with rate-sensitive house builders rising as much as 0.9pc.
The worst performer on the FTSE 100 was Burberry, which dropped 5.2pc following fall in European luxury goods group Kering, which warned about a potential sales drop in the first quarter.
The mid cap FTSE 250 was up 0.1pc, with Johnson Matthey among the top performers.
The chemicals company jumped 6.4pc after announcing that it will sell its medical device components business to Montagu Private Equity for $700m (£551m).
As inflation fell sharply to 3.4pc in February, Suren Thiru, economics director at ICAEW, said:
In corporate news, Prudential revealed a rise in profits for the past year as it hailed “early progress” in its recent growth strategy.
The insurance and asset management giant said it is “increasingly confident” it will now achieve growth targets for 2027, which it set out following a strategy review last year.
It came as the company revealed that adjusted operating profits grew by 6pc to $2.9bn (£2.3bn) in 2023, compared with the previous year.
Chief executive Anil Wadhwani cheered the performance as “a very strong set of results while operating in a challenging macro environment”.
The London and Hong Kong-listed group said it benefited from positive policy sales in Asia and Africa over the year.
This helped to drive a 45pc increase in new profit during the year, bosses said.
However, shares fell 0.4pc in early trading.
Britain is on track to hit the Bank of England’s target to reduce inflation to 2pc by April, according to economists.
The consumer prices index (CPI) fell to 3.4pc in February, down from 4pc the previous month, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
The decline in price rises was sharper than analysts’ predictions of a fall to 3.5pc and is the lowest reading since September 2021, when inflation stood at 3.1pc.
The decline in CPI was also the fastest annual fall in inflation since 1978 and leaves Britain within touching distance of inflation in the US, which stands at 3.2pc.
James Smith, research director at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The fastest fall in inflation for almost half a century will be welcome news for households – with food inflation falling to its lowest rate in two years – and the Bank of England, as inflation looks on track to hit its 2pc target in April.
“Services inflation also continues to fall which, coupled with falling nominal wage growth, should give monetary policy makers more confidence that wage pressures on inflation are starting to ease.”
Suren Thiru, economics director at ICAEW, said: “The last mile of this inflation marathon should be the easiest with lower energy bills, following the cut in Ofgem’s energy price cap, likely to drag the headline rate back to the Bank of England’s 2pc target in April.”
The decline in inflation has bolstered hopes that the Bank of England will cut interest rates in the summer, boosting household incomes ahead of an election.
Policymakers are widely expected to keep interest rates on hold when they announce their next interest rate decision on Thursday.
Money markets boosted bets on rate cuts following the ONS figures, with Neil Birrell of Premier Miton adding: “Rate cut expectations for the middle of the year are well founded.”
Stock markets in London were muted as trading began despite the sharp fall in inflation.
The FTSE 100 fell 0.1pc to 7,731.58 while the domestically-focused FTSE 250 dropped 0.2pc to 19,446.43.
Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has pointed to rising mortgage payments after the latest inflation figures:
Panmure Gordon chief economist Simon French also pointed to rising mortgage costs:
Inflation has fallen more than expected but had remained firm at 4pc in January, compared to 4pc in December, which was an increase from 3.9pc in November.
However, food inflation fell to its lowest rate since January 2022, which the British Retail Consortium said was a result of retailers continuing “to deliver the best service to their customers and communities”.
Kris Hamer, director of insight at the British Retail Consortium, said:
Money markets have boosted bets on the Bank of England cutting interest rates this summer after inflation fell further than expected to 3.4pc in February.
Traders have priced in 71 basis points of interest rate reductions by the end of the year, nearly equivalent to three quarter of a point cuts.
They had priced in 66 basis points of cuts before the ONS inflation figures were published.
An interest rate cut is priced in by August, but traders have increased bets on the potential for a reduction in June.
Neil Birrell, chief investment officer at Premier Miton, said:
The pound has remained flat against the dollar in early trading, suggesting the steep decline in UK inflation had already been priced in by the markets.
Sterling was little changed at $1.27, although it was 0.1pc lower against the euro at 85p amid hopes that falling inflation will pave the way for interest rate cuts this summer by the Bank of England.
The fall in inflation was widespread in February, the ONS data show.
Food inflation declined from 7pc to 5pc, while restaurants and hotels inflation dropped from 7pc to 6pc. Communication inflation dipped from 8.2pc to 5.6pc.
Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said: A lot of this was due to more normal changes in prices this February following unusually large price rises last February.”
Economists have predicted the latest inflation figures mean the Bank of England will begin cutting interest rates this summer and could reduce them to 3pc next year.
Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said the consumer prices index reading of 3.4pc “probably won’t make the Bank of England sound any more dovish when it leaves interest rates at 5.25pc tomorrow”.
However, he said inflation will fall below 2pc in April and then ease towards 1pc, which suggests the policymakers “may have to start cutting rates in the summer and reduce them to 3pc next year”.
He added:
Rishi Sunak has sent out a victorious sounding tweet as inflation fell further than expected to 3.4pc.
Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, also fell more than expected to 4.5pc in February, according to the ONS.
This was down from 5.1pc in January and lower than the 4.6pc predicted by economists.
The closely-watched annual rate of services inflation – the dominant sector in Britain’s economy – eased from 6.5pc to 6.1pc.
However, this was slightly less than analyst forecasts of a fall to 6pc.
As inflation fell more than expected, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said:
ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said:
Inflation fell more than expected last month to its lowest level in nearly two and a half years, official figures show, in a boost for Rishi Sunak before a general election expected in the autumn.
The consumer prices index (CPI) fell to 3.4pc in February, down from 4pc the previous month, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
The decline in price rises was sharper than analysts’ predictions of a fall to 3.5pc and is the lowest reading since September 2021, when inflation stood at 3.1pc.
ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said: “Food prices were the main driver of the fall, with prices almost unchanged this year compared to a large rise last year, while restaurant and cafe prices also slowed.”
The decline in inflation has bolstered hopes that the Bank of England will cut interest rates in the summer, boosting household incomes ahead of an election.
Policymakers are widely expected to keep interest rates on hold when they announce their next interest rate decision on Thursday.
Thanks for joining me. Inflation fell more sharply than expected last month according to the Office for National Statistics.
The consumer prices index fell to 3.4pc in February compared to 4pc in January and December.
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Asian markets were mostly higher ahead of expected guidance by the Federal Reserve on the timing of its cuts to interest rates.
Japan’s markets were closed for a holiday. On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate for the first time in 17 years, raising the rate to a range of zero to 0.1pc from minus 0.1pc.
The pound and the US dollar rose against the Japanese yen after the BOJ decision suggested that a wide gap between interest rates with Japan will persist for the foreseeable future.
The Hang Seng in Hong Kong edged 0.2pc higher to 16,559.77, while the Shanghai Composite index was up 0.5pc at 3,076.67.
China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Wednesday, as expected. While the economy is showing signs of improvement, the property market remains precarious.
Elsewhere, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added 0.3pc to 7,725.40, while the Kospi in South Korea advanced 1.1pc to 2,685.87, Taiwan’s Taiex gained 0.1pc.
In America, the S&P 500 rose to a record on Tuesday as Wall Street made some of its final moves before hearing what the Federal Reserve will do with interest rates.
The benchmark index rose 0.6pc, to 5,178.51 and topped its all-time high set last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 0.8pc, to 39,110.76, and the Nasdaq Composite index gained 0.4pc, to 16,166.79.
The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds dipped to 4.29pc from 4.33pc late on Monday.